{"id":9261,"date":"2020-08-19T15:32:22","date_gmt":"2020-08-19T14:32:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cassandravoices.com\/?p=9261"},"modified":"2020-08-19T15:32:22","modified_gmt":"2020-08-19T14:32:22","slug":"covid-19-the-perfect-storm","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/casswp.eutonom.eu\/index.php\/2020\/08\/19\/covid-19-the-perfect-storm\/","title":{"rendered":"Covid-19: The Perfect Storm"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong><em>Paying the piper?<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>When a researcher publishes a research paper he or she is obliged to state clearly any funding source. The reasons for this are entirely obvious. Most \u2018bad\u2019, \u2018faulty\u2019, or \u2018unreliable\u2019 research is tainted by the interests of those who have provided financial support.<\/p>\n<p>There is nothing new in any of this, and scientific literature is replete with examples \u2013 from the use of Thalidimode for morning sickness to Andrew Wakefield linking the MMR vaccine to autism etc. \u2013 of bad or biased science. That is not to say necessarily that a scientist or expert offering scientific guidance has been influenced by the overt or covert desires of his sponsors; however, to preserve impartiality he must declare any sponsors before \u2018expert\u2019 or \u2018scientific\u2019 conclusions are tendered.<\/p>\n<p>Unfortunately, the same rigorous insistence on transparency in respect of funding does not extend to appearances on TV or Radio. Thus, if an \u2018expert\u2019 appears to promote a particular therapy, vaccination, or social behaviour, he is not obliged to declare a vested interests or private sponsorship.<\/p>\n<p>It falls to the media source itself \u2013 the newspaper or interviewer \u2013 to ascertain the affiliations or funding of a particular \u2018expert,\u2019 either prior to or during the delivery of scientific conclusions or guidance. This process is integral to maintaining ethical standards within journalism. It is particularly incumbent upon-state funded media, whose income is derived from mandatory licence fees that such standards are not compromised. Without this the general populace could find itself following faulty advice or guidelines to the advantage of \u2018he who pays the piper.\u2019<\/p>\n<p>This is precisely the dark territory we have entered in respect of public health guidelines on masks, lockdowns and vaccinations in response to Covid-19.<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Obligatory Mask-Wearing<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The Irish government has recently made it <span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.thejournal.ie\/when-and-how-to-wear-a-face-covering-ireland-5171841-Aug2020\/\">compulsory to wear surgical face masks on all public transport and inside shops<\/a><\/span>.<a href=\"#_edn1\" name=\"_ednref1\">[i]<\/a> If a person refuses to comply, without providing a \u2018valid\u2019 medical reason, he or she faces a fine of \u20ac2500, or a prison sentence of up to six months. The Gardai are to police the validity of such medical reasons. The ethics of a law requiring a Garda to question a member of the public on his or her medical condition in a public places has yet to be discussed in a meaningful manner, despite the clear infringement on an individual\u2019s constitutional right to privacy.<\/p>\n<p>In respect of masks, there are indeed many strong counterarguments, drawn from <span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/pmc\/articles\/PMC7323223\/?fbclid=IwAR15wQ0gOySIs8c7I4m9qsCiPJT6E66pM9Hiwr82AKeAPfcmfmKctK9qG1Y#__ffn_sectitle\">respectable scientific literature<\/a><\/span>,<a href=\"#_edn2\" name=\"_ednref2\">[ii]<\/a> <em>against<\/em> the anti-viral efficacy of masks, the safety of prolonged mask use; besides the social division they create, pitting advocates on both sides against one another.<\/p>\n<p>Indeed, the near pointless nature of mask-wearing has been pointed out to the Oireachtas by its own commissioned expert witness: Professor Carl Heneghan director of University of Oxford&#8217;s Centre for Evidence-Based Medicine.<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Professor Carl Heneghan \u2013 speech from 13 Aug 2020\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/2zxvhL1zA18?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>Cloth masks are likely to do more harm than good, as it has been stated in many sources that viral particles are so small that the protection offered by most masks is analogous to \u2018keeping flies off ones property with a chain-link fence.\u2019 The plastic welder type face shield, in vogue among hotel staff, can reasonably be described as ridiculous in terms of its potential to protect against this virus, or anything at all for that matter. They are, like most masks, little more than a placebo.<\/p>\n<p>Masks afford wearers the delusion of protection. If one wishes to become aware of the appropriate attire to wear to effectively limit transmission of an aerosol or airborne virus from one person to another, there are plenty of images available online showing what &#8216;medical-grade&#8217; protective attire and masks looks like.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_9269\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-9269\" style=\"width: 659px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-9269\" src=\"https:\/\/cassandravoices.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/Hazmatsuit-300x200.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"659\" height=\"439\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-9269\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Hazmat suit.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The serious question then arises; \u2018when will the population be released from an obligation to wear masks?\u2019<\/p>\n<p>There is no disputing that Covid-19 remains in circulation in Ireland: cases are detected daily and a small number of deaths continue to be reported. There are reasonable concerns that there will be an uptick in cases during the winter months. Historically, coronaviruses cause 30-40% of the common cold which peaks in winter and \u2018dies off\u2019 in the summer months. The natural history of coronaviruses is extensively described in the literature.<\/p>\n<p>I suspect the mandatory wearing of masks among the general public is motivated by two quasi-political aims. The first is to distract from what is best described as the <span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.ie\/world-news\/coronavirus\/many-in-nursing-homes-died-deaths-that-certainly-could-have-been-prevented-39282569.html\">\u2018incompetent manslaughter\u2019 of several hundred elderly care home residents<\/a><\/span> at the height of the crisis.<a href=\"#_edn3\" name=\"_ednref3\">[iii]<\/a> Secondly, to pave the way for mandatory vaccinations, <span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.irishtimes.com\/opinion\/strong-legal-basis-for-making-covid-19-vaccinations-mandatory-1.4313941?mode=sample&amp;auth-failed=1&amp;pw-origin=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.irishtimes.com%2Fopinion%2Fstrong-legal-basis-for-making-covid-19-vaccinations-mandatory-1.4313941\">the legal case for which has already been set out by Sarah Fulham-McQuillan, Assistant Professor in UCD\u2019s Sutherland School of Law<\/a><\/span>,<a href=\"#_edn4\" name=\"_ednref4\">[iv]<\/a> despite such an intervention not even existing. Such an unprecedented law would obviously be to the direct financial benefit of select pharmaceutical companies.<\/p>\n<p>Therefore, the end game for public mask wearing, the \u2018get out of jail card\u2019, or release from the \u2019duty to mask\u2019 has little to do with the mask itself, which in practical terms is little more than more symbolic; informing or even indoctrinating\u00a0 an awareness of the \u2018danger\u2019 of the virus. The public can only stop wearing masks once the virus is no longer circulating in society. The only mechanism by which it can disappear is through the development of immunity within most of the population.<\/p>\n<p>Mandatory masks imply \u2018mandatory\u2019 protection for elderly vulnerable people <em>and<\/em> for young, healthy, non-vulnerable alike. Yet young healthy people have <span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.telegraph.co.uk\/politics\/2020\/06\/09\/school-age-children-likely-hit-lightning-die-coronavirus-oxbridge\/\">practically nothing to fear from Covid-19<\/a><\/span>, again this is repeatedly cited in almost all available literature. Therefore, when the majority of healthy people within society are \u2018protected\u2019 from exposure by masks they are <em>compelled<\/em> to be protected from developing a natural-immunity through an otherwise natural exposure to the virus. This crucial point has been missing from the non-existent debate in the Irish media on the issue of mask wearing.<\/p>\n<p>When the state makes mask-wearing mandatory, the state has formally rejected natural-immunity among the non-vulnerable.<\/p>\n<p>When the State rejects \u2018natural-immunity,\u2019 indeed when it wilfully or legislatively deprives the non-vulnerable individual of opportunities to acquire natural immunity, the State is then compelled to adopt the only alternative to natural-immunity, and that \u2018only alternative\u2019 is a vaccine.<\/p>\n<p>We can assume that the lockdown and ongoing prohibitions on large social gatherings and social distancing have worked to an extent \u2013 albeit perversely <em>not<\/em> for the most vulnerable \u2013 and that those measures have \u2018protected\u2019 healthy young people. This means that only a low number of people have been exposed to the virus across society. This point is apparently confirmed by antibody surveys, <span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.irishtimes.com\/news\/health\/coronavirus-ireland-has-no-significant-herd-immunity-study-shows-1.4308216\">showing that less than 5% of the population had antibodies<\/a><\/span>,<a href=\"#_edn5\" name=\"_ednref5\">[v]<\/a> although this survey was not extensive, and <span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nejm.org\/doi\/full\/10.1056\/nejmc2025179\">antibodies appear to fade rapidly in persons with mild Covid-19<\/a><\/span>,<a href=\"#_edn6\" name=\"_ednref6\">[vi]<\/a> which gives way to <span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2020\/08\/16\/health\/coronavirus-immunity-antibodies.html\">other forms of immunity<\/a><\/span>.<a href=\"#_edn7\" name=\"_ednref7\">[vii]<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Thus, if the only means of eradicating the virus is reaching a herd immunity threshold \u2013 assuming we do not reach zero Covid and hermetically seal our borders indefinitely in a new T\u00edr na n\u00d3g \u2013 it follows then that the majority of society must eventually be vaccinated in order to achieve immunity. Given that masks have been mandated, it is entirely consistent with government policy that the \u2018eagerly\u2019 awaited vaccine must also be mandated.<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Warp Speed<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Perhaps the foremost expert who has been advocating compulsory mask-wearing in the general public has been Professor Luke O&#8217;Neill, a Trinity College biochemist, and head of its immunology department. Professor O\u2019Neill is not a Medical Doctor, nor has he a qualification in public health or epidemiology. Most recently he has been to the fore in insisting mandatory masks should be extended to secondary school students.<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"COVID-19: Professor Luke O&#039;Neill backs mandatory face masks for secondary schools\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/iLr4NpqzGRE?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>As an advocate of compulsory mask wearing, it follows that Professor O&#8217;Neill should be a proponent of a universally administered Covid-19 vaccine. Notably, Professor O&#8217;Neill&#8217;s Twitter feed has included enthusiastic countdowns for the vaccine being rushed through clinical trials at \u2018warp speed.\u2019<a href=\"#_edn8\" name=\"_ednref8\">[viii]<\/a><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Warp speed continues for vaccine- 3 enter final phase of testing (having successfully passed the previous 2) with 18 close behind and 125 more at earlier stages. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/MMS1FxFLUS\">pic.twitter.com\/MMS1FxFLUS<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Luke O&#39;Neill (@laoneill111) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/laoneill111\/status\/1276424356869046279?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">June 26, 2020<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>There is nothing new here, and nothing is being uncovered or exposed. Professor O&#8217;Neill&#8217;s position is neither unusual nor indeed unreasonable. It is entirely expected. Any proponent of universal mask-wearing cannot avoid being a proponent of vaccination as the means of escaping the imposition of the mask \u2013 <em>universal vaccination is the only escape from the universal mask.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>The relevant question may be whether Professor O\u2019Neill is a proponent of compulsory masks because compulsory masks may only be escaped via compulsory vaccination?<\/p>\n<p>The subtle shift, lost on many, is that the current measures have transformed the positive anticipation of a vaccination for those at risk, into a formal obligation for universal vaccination.<\/p>\n<p>Mask wearers (in theory at least) remain \u2018potential hosts\u2019 for Covid-19; natural internal immunity having been officially avoided; immunity can only come from the pharmaceutical industry. Failing to make this connection is a failure of simple logic.<\/p>\n<p>If universal vaccination is the logical conclusion of mask-wearing, and if indeed members of the public are threatened with jail if they fail to comply; it would seem entirely reasonable to establish any potential conflicts of interest that might exist between any scientific proponents of masks, and the manufacturers of a vaccine, very likely to be compulsory for all; a proposal also mooted in other jurisdictions.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/BREAKING?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#BREAKING<\/a> Scott Morrison says he expects to make vaccination against coronavirus &#39;as mandatory as you can possibly make it&#39; once it becomes available\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/03LINcxjmf\">https:\/\/t.co\/03LINcxjmf<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; ABC Adelaide (@abcadelaide) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/abcadelaide\/status\/1295870002562703360?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">August 18, 2020<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>One does not wish to focus upon Professor O&#8217;Neill unduly; however, as he has been perhaps the most publicly visible scientist to promote masks for all it is not unreasonable to examine his relationship with vaccine manufacturers, and operation \u2018warp-speed\u2019.<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Sitryx<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>In 2018 Professor <a href=\"http:\/\/Sitryx, \u2018Founders\u2019 http:\/\/www.sitryx.com\/about-us\/founders\/\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">O&#8217;Neill, along with five others<\/span><\/a><a href=\"#_edn9\" name=\"_ednref9\">[ix]<\/a>, founded a private biotech firm called Sitryx. The company develops therapeutic agents that modulate the immune system. Agents that modulate the immune system or immune response, are <span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cdc.gov\/vaccinesafety\/concerns\/adjuvants.html\">essential ingredients to many if not most vaccines available on the market today<\/a><\/span>.<a href=\"#_edn10\" name=\"_ednref10\">[x]<\/a> It is therefore unsurprising to learn that the largest investors in Prof O&#8217;Neill&#8217;s firm are indeed vaccine manufacturers.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.pmlive.com\/pharma_news\/gsk_signs_deal_with_medicargo_for_covid-19_vaccine_1344532\">GlaxoSmithKline<\/a><\/span><a href=\"#_edn11\" name=\"_ednref11\">[xi]<\/a> and <span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/investor.lilly.com\/news-releases\/news-release-details\/lilly-initiates-phase-3-trial-ly-cov555-prevention-covid-19-long\">Lilly Pharmeceuticals<\/a><\/span><a href=\"#_edn12\" name=\"_ednref12\">[xii]<\/a> Sitryx&#8217;s biggest sponsors, are currently developing potential vaccines for Covid-19. <span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.globenewswire.com\/news-release\/2018\/10\/08\/1617744\/0\/en\/New-biopharmaceutical-company-Sitryx-launches-with-30-million-fundraising-to-develop-disease-modifying-therapeutics-in-immunometabolism.html\">GSK has invested some $30 million into Sitryx<\/a><\/span><a href=\"#_edn13\" name=\"_ednref13\">[xiii]<\/a>, and also provided Professor O&#8217;Neill with a laboratory and assistants to facilitate his research. All of this information is in the public domain, and indeed is published on <span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"http:\/\/www.sitryx.com\/about-us\/founders\/\">Sitryx<\/a><\/span>\u2019s own website:<\/p>\n<p><em>Sitryx was founded in 2018 with seed funding from SV Health Investors and raised $30 million Series A funding from an international syndicate of specialist investors including SV Health Investors, Sofinnova Partners, Longwood Fund and GSK. In 2020 Sitryx formed an exclusive global licensing and research collaboration with Eli Lilly and Company. Lilly also became an investor in the company.<a href=\"#_edn14\" name=\"_ednref14\"><strong>[xiv]<\/strong><\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p>What we can at least say is that a cautionary approach to vaccination would be antagonistic to Sitryx&#8217;s primary funders. Whilst mandatory vaccination could result in a transfer of enormous tax revenues into the coffers of those companies fortunate enough to win the \u2018race\u2019 for the vaccine.<\/p>\n<p>It is interesting to note that at the outset of the crisis, Professor O&#8217;Neill was interviewed on the Late Late Show. At that time he declared that masks were \u2018pointless\u2019, if not \u2018dangerous\u2019. He described the new coronavirus as an \u201cevil virus\u201d that could get into people\u2019s bodies \u201cthrough their eyes.\u201d When asked why he thought people were wearing them he replied good humouredly they had watched \u201ctoo many horror movies\u201d.<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"&#039;Just wash your hands!&#039; Professor Luke O&#039;Neill on the Coronavirus | The Late Late Show | RT\u00c9 One\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/g7_P2RmrA6U?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>Strangely, however, within a matter of weeks the good professor had entirely changed his mind on the issue and continues to assert that masks are indeed entirely essential and should be mandated for almost everyone.<\/p>\n<p>Through no fault of his own, Professor O\u2019Neill\u2019s potential conflict of interest has been wilfully ignored in the national and mainstream media. To my knowledge, he has not once been asked about the relationship between his biotech company, and his sponsors at GSK or Lilly pharmaceuticals, having appeared on almost every talk show on radio and television in the land.<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>An Alternative?<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Partiality towards the bio-tech agenda and public health guidance, might be in the public interest, if masks and subsequent vaccine were in fact the only option available. The general public have been led to believe that mask wearing regulations are \u2018for the greater good\u2019, and that those who object are reckless, anarchic, or simply ignorant.<\/p>\n<p>https:\/\/twitter.com\/DonnellyStephen\/status\/1293973649683288070<\/p>\n<p>They are not. Mask-wearing policies differ across Europe, mandatory in some countries optional in others. Most Scandinavian countries have resisted the compulsion to the extent that is seen elsewhere. <span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.voanews.com\/covid-19-pandemic\/norway-makes-first-face-mask-recommendation-pandemic-began\">Norway only recommended their use on August 14th whilst using public transport in and around the capital Oslo<\/a><\/span>.<a href=\"#_edn15\" name=\"_ednref15\">[xv]<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Throughout the pandemic the Swedish approach has been far less draconian than in most European countries, permitting (without encouraging) it&#8217;s healthy non-vulnerable citizens to be exposed to the virus within the community setting, and thereby developing natural immunity, a policy that is somewhat in keeping with the natural cycle of viral colds and flues. This takes advantage of natural processes to encourage its natural extinction <span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/us-health-coronavirus-mutation\/more-infectious-coronavirus-mutation-may-be-a-good-thing-says-disease-expert-idUSKCN25E08Y\">or diminished severity<\/a><\/span>.<\/p>\n<p>This reduces the potential hosts within society and the attendant risk of the virus spreading to vulnerable or elderly communities. In the face of <span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2020\/07\/07\/business\/sweden-economy-coronavirus.html\">widespread international criticism<\/a><\/span><a href=\"#_edn16\" name=\"_ednref16\">[xvi]<\/a> the country has persisted with the closest model to the much maligned notion of \u2018herd immunity.\u2019 Recently the UK press, including the<span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/7acfc5b8-d96f-455b-9f36-b70dc850428f\"><em> Financial Times<\/em><\/a><\/span><a href=\"#_edn17\" name=\"_ednref17\">[xvii]<\/a> and <em><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.telegraph.co.uk\/news\/2020\/08\/12\/swedens-success-shows-true-cost-arrogant-failed-establishment\/\">Daily Telegraph<\/a><\/span><a href=\"#_edn18\" name=\"_ednref18\"><strong>[xviii]<\/strong><\/a><\/em>, have awoken to the relative success of the Swedish approach, media sources are increasingly joining the ranks of the \u2018converted\u2019.<\/p>\n<p>The same model that the UK initially opted for, but later dismissed based on defective modelling from Imperial College, which suggested that a &#8216;herd immunity&#8217; approach would lead to <span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2020\/03\/17\/world\/europe\/coronavirus-imperial-college-johnson.html\">half a million deaths in the UK<\/a><\/span>,<a href=\"#_edn19\" name=\"_ednref19\">[xix]<\/a> a model that has since been shown to have been <span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.telegraph.co.uk\/technology\/2020\/05\/16\/neil-fergusons-imperial-model-could-devastating-software-mistake\/\">deeply flawed<\/a><\/span>, and based on <span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/unherd.com\/thepost\/nobel-prize-winning-scientist-the-covid-19-epidemic-was-never-exponential\/\">flawed epidemiology<\/a><\/span>.<a href=\"#_edn20\" name=\"_ednref20\">[xx]<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The Swedish approach by avoiding compulsory mask-wearing is not entirely dependent upon universal vaccination as their only \u2018end game\u2019. That is not to say that the Swedes will avoid or decline a vaccine when or if it arrives on the market; it is merely that their approach is not locked-into a vaccine as the principal source of immunity for the population. The Swedes have maintained the right to \u2018opt\u2019 for a mask and, as such, and have preserved the right to \u2018opt\u2019 for a vaccine too.<\/p>\n<p>Regardless of what a country may choose in respect of vaccination, the Swedes will certainly have more of a \u2018choice\u2019 relative to those countries that continue to more actively avoid exposure among their healthy non-vulnerable citizens.<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Social Division<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The recent transformation of many aspects of the external environment, into something of a hospital ward, through the wearing of masks by many, and avoidance by many more, is certainly a new departure in the social habits for most people in Ireland and beyond.<\/p>\n<p>Many are under the impression that mask wearing either in public, in shops or on public transport, is not simply \u2018a good idea\u2019 but integral to saving lives. Battle lines have been drawn between the \u2018sensible\u2019, and the \u2018reckless\u2019.<\/p>\n<p>The state and national media are on the side of the ostensibly sensible, and mainstream media is presently flooded with a positive insistence upon masks. Regardless of the government&#8217;s insistence, and the concurrence of mainstream media, large numbers of people refuse to comply, and social division is apparent on the streets, among neighbours and even within families.<\/p>\n<p>This division is a consequence of government policy, and that policy is not based upon any agreed international standard. Interestingly, however, there is little evidence of debate on the subject. This lack of dialogue, and indeed the active suppression of views contradicting the official line, is a very worrying development within a supposedly democratic society, where a diverse range of opinions should be heard.<\/p>\n<p>The present social policy of mandating compliance is a difficult road to navigate without infringing human rights, as members of the public who choose not to wear a mask must disclose their most intimate and private medical details to members of An Garda S\u00edochana in public places, if they are to avoid arrest, fines or imprisonment.<\/p>\n<p>In the recent past an individual&#8217;s personal medical details were entirely private and a doctor might be struck off the medical register or sued for sharing this information, without informed consent. Under the current emergency legislation a member of the Garda\u00ed must elicit a quasi-medical history from a non-mask wearer and be satisfied as to its reliability if the non-mask wearer is to avoid arrest. Inalienable human rights to privacy, have been entirely brushed aside.<\/p>\n<p>Unfortunately the consequence of current policy is leading to what might be described as the most divisive situation in Ireland since the civil war. There are those who believe that they are \u2018saving lives\u2019; their own, their countrymen and the vulnerable. Opponents believe that wearing a mask is harmful to one\u2019s health, will do nothing to save lives and that there are sinister, political and even corporate motives behind the directives.<\/p>\n<p>Each side of the divide is ostensibly concerned about public welfare. However, those conforming to the narrative are generally presumed correct, whilst nonconformists are readily dismissed as wearing \u2018tinfoil-hats\u2019, or being conspiracy theorists, or even \u2018anti-vaxxers.\u2019<\/p>\n<p>Presently, the division within society is only simmering. There have been occasional incidences of angry exchanges between both sides, yet these are mostly confined to the zones where mask wearing and other guidelines are compulsory; public transport, and social settings where other guidelines such as social distancing within pubs, restaurants or social venues also apply.<\/p>\n<p>https:\/\/twitter.com\/IrishInquiry\/status\/1294238059949678592<\/p>\n<p>For most of us, wearing a mask on the bus, in the shops, or having the local publican issue a dodgy food receipt so that we can have a pint without fear of being arrested, may not be insurmountable limitations. If we are compliant we are unlikely to be questioning the guidelines, and will be looking forward to a return to normality. Fortunately, for the government it is difficult to look forwards and backwards at the same time. Sure enough, dialogue pertaining to mistakes, missed screenings, deaths in nursing homes etc. are all rather conveniently eclipsed by the current political mask wearing debate. It might be argued that there is indeed a malevolent purpose to this.<\/p>\n<p>If a division erupts into violence or aggression, the parties involved are generally on the extremist fringes of either side of the divide. This is unlikely to remain the case.<\/p>\n<p>I believe we have been led here by motives that are not in the interests of the greater public. The social division that is being fostered, may (for the present time) be manifest only at the level of \u2018wearing the jersey\u2019 and shouting up for one\u2019s team. Yet this relatively benign manifestation is likely to evolve into a more sinister version of itself. This is perhaps inevitable as the associated stresses upon either side will undoubtedly increase in the coming months.<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Second Wave?<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>At the time of writing deaths from Covid-19 have declined to almost nothing in Ireland and throughout most of Europe. The question that is in most people&#8217;s mind is whether or not this decline will continue throughout the autumn and winter months?<\/p>\n<p>Covid-19 is member of the <span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/pmc\/articles\/PMC7252012\/\">coronavirus family<\/a><\/span>, responsible for some 30-40% of the yearly or seasonal \u2018colds\u2019 that affect almost all nations.<a href=\"#_edn21\" name=\"_ednref21\">[xxi]<\/a> With it still circulating, we can expect a seasonal increase in cases in the coming months. Our normal or historical experience with the cold and flu viruses each year sees their arrival some time in Autumn, peaking around March or April, and then waning before generally expiring in late Spring or early Summer.<\/p>\n<p>There are two significant factors influencing this process. The first being the natural immunity that develops within society as most people are exposed to and recover from the cold virus. The second factor being the increase in the length of daylight and the effects of daylight (UV-light) upon aerosols, droplets or viral particles on external surfaces. There is nothing new in any of these assertions, which are basic tenets of microbiological science.<\/p>\n<p>Therefore, we can conclude, that as the virus is still here, and as the measures to date have been moderately effective in preventing a build-up in natural-immunity within the population, as the days shorten, a resurgence seems inevitable.<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Stress and Disease<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>In my twenty years of experience as a physician I have noted what many doctors have observed since the dawn of medicine itself. This is the simple empirical truth that psychological stress is a major factor in the subjective evolution or pathogenesis of ALL disease. This truism applies more for some diseases, less in others, but is indeed true for all disease. In many cases psychological stress is the sole factor that pushes the generally tolerable symptoms of minor illness, firmly and definitively into the realm of significant pathology. Indeed, <span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nhs.uk\/news\/mental-health\/loneliness-may-make-cold-symptoms-feel-worse\/\">the NHS advise that loneliness can make the symptoms of a cold virus feel worse<\/a><\/span>.<a href=\"#_edn22\" name=\"_ednref22\">[xxii]<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Today, the language of psychological and emotional pain has been almost entirely medicalised. Now when one is talking about one\u2019s \u2018medical\u2019 illness or one\u2019s \u2018diagnosis\u2019, it takes the skill of a competent psychoanalyst to uncover the subjective psychological truths that invariably unite one\u2019s medical \u2018pain\u2019 to a deeper insecurity \u2013 its emotional or psychological fountainhead. The process is an introspective one, and nowadays most of us are cut off from making these connections.<\/p>\n<p>For some it may be a simple lack of emotional-intelligence, for many more it is simply easier to run with the medical diagnosis, and just take the pill.<\/p>\n<p>I am not asserting that pain is \u2018caused\u2019 by emotion or psychology. It is not; it is caused by disease. However, emotion or psychology will determine the tolerability of pain and can push the sub-clinical pain into the realm of clinical manifestation. It will and does make almost all disease worse.<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>An Honest Version of the Self<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Likewise too, when people become angry, on either side of the mask wearing-divide, there is a history to that anger, one that connects it to deeper and more profound frustrations. This is an important factor, rarely considered by a medical establishment that is in thrall to the idea of the human subject as a &#8216;biological machine&#8217;. One where symptoms are mechanical faults, requiring mechanical or physical remedies. Almost all of these remedies must then be purchased. Modern cures are rarely <span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/cassandravoices.com\/uncategorized\/drinking-from-the-waters-of-prevention-in-public-health\/\">derived from nature<\/a><\/span>, from introspection or the pursuit of an honest version of the self.<\/p>\n<p>This is entirely relevant to the subjective \u2018deeper\u2019 angers, insecurities and frustrations that are easily brought to the surface in many people, when the scapegoat of an inferior or non-compliant \u2018other\u2019 is provided or even offered up by the powers-that-be. History is our teacher here, and as usual she is wilfully ignored.<\/p>\n<p>I mention the influence of psychological stress to highlight the observation that it is a major determinant in one\u2019s experience with Covid-19 as with any dis-ease. Psychological stress is (medically speaking) a self-fulling prophecy. People who are most anxious about becoming ill are most likely to become ill. If you ask yourself often enough whether or not you have a headache, you will eventually experience one.<\/p>\n<p>The same applies to Covid-19. Most people who are exposed to the virus do not even know they have been exposed. Many experience little more than a common cold or flu like illness, many more experience nothing at all. As is the case with the common cold, the crucial factor that determines where one is likely to fall upon the spectrum of suffering, is not simply the cold-virus itself, but rather the physical and importantly the mental health of the \u2018victim\u2019. There is no individual more acutely aware of his symptoms, than someone who is most anxious about his health.<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Back to School<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Psychological stress for some members of our society has an equally seasonal component. Each September when Irish children return to school, the stress levels within many Irish families, (particularly those with young children) begin to rise.<\/p>\n<p>There are immediate demands for uniforms, books, lists, shoes, sportswear, transport etc, all of which place a significant burden on parents, especially mothers. Returning to school this year for most families will be fraught with many additional anxieties.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-9270 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/cassandravoices.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/backtoschool-300x194.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"724\" height=\"468\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Children may have to wear masks, visors, social distance in the classroom and the playground, be prevented from bringing lunch boxes, and perhaps have their uniforms washed daily. Schools may not be able to accommodate required classroom sizes and schedules for attendance may have to be altered. The familiar routine is to be a \u2018thing of the past\u2019 \u2013 the implications for increased stress upon parents and children are incalculable. Let us organize all of this into a list of observations<\/p>\n<p><em>An elevated number of potential viral hosts, which is a consequence of suppression of natural-immunity.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Increased life of the virus in the external environment due to decreased daylight<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Raised levels of social anxiety and subsequent susceptibility to illness\/infection<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Continued persistence of the virus at low levels within Irish society<\/em><\/p>\n<p>These factors suggest a resurgence of the virus this winter, and taken in context with the existing level of social stress, and the inevitable increase in those stresses next month; it is not unreasonable to suggest a \u2018perfect storm\u2019 is gathering.<\/p>\n<p>It is highly likely that the present level of bitterness or anger between both sides of the mask wearing divide willl be where that stress and pain becomes publicly manifest. The deeper tragedy at play, is the fact that each side of the division will be seen as the aggresor. Yet those who have fostered the division remain immune to any degree of scrutiny for past mistakes, while dark clouds are on the horizon.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref1\" name=\"_edn1\">[i]<\/a> Orla Dwyer, \u2018Explainer: Everything to know about new face covering regulations\u2019, <em>thejournal.ie<\/em>, August 10<sup>th<\/sup>, 2020, https:\/\/www.thejournal.ie\/when-and-how-to-wear-a-face-covering-ireland-5171841-Aug2020\/<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref2\" name=\"_edn2\">[ii]<\/a> David Isaacs et al, \u2018Do facemasks protect against COVID\u201019?\u2019, <em>Journal of Paediatric Child Health<\/em>, June 16<sup>th<\/sup>, 2020, https:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/pmc\/articles\/PMC7323223\/?fbclid=IwAR15wQ0gOySIs8c7I4m9qsCiPJT6E66pM9Hiwr82AKeAPfcmfmKctK9qG1Y#__ffn_sectitle<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref3\" name=\"_edn3\">[iii]<\/a> Catherine Fegan, \u2018&#8217;Many in nursing homes died deaths that certainly could have been prevented&#8217;\u2019, <em>Irish Independent<\/em>, June 13<sup>th<\/sup>, 2020, https:\/\/www.independent.ie\/world-news\/coronavirus\/many-in-nursing-homes-died-deaths-that-certainly-could-have-been-prevented-39282569.html<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref4\" name=\"_edn4\">[iv]<\/a> Sarah Fulham-McQuillan, \u2018Strong legal basis for making Covid-19 vaccinations mandatory\u2019, <em>Irish Times<\/em>, June 27<sup>th<\/sup>, 2020, https:\/\/www.irishtimes.com\/opinion\/strong-legal-basis-for-making-covid-19-vaccinations-mandatory-1.4313941?mode=sample&amp;auth-failed=1&amp;pw-origin=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.irishtimes.com%2Fopinion%2Fstrong-legal-basis-for-making-covid-19-vaccinations-mandatory-1.4313941<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref5\" name=\"_edn5\">[v]<\/a> Simon Carswell, \u2018Coronavirus: Ireland has \u2018no significant\u2019 herd immunity, study shows\u2019, July 20<sup>th<\/sup>, 2020, https:\/\/www.irishtimes.com\/news\/health\/coronavirus-ireland-has-no-significant-herd-immunity-study-shows-1.4308216<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref6\" name=\"_edn6\">[vi]<\/a>F. Javier Ibarrondo, Ph.D. et al, \u2018Rapid Decay of Anti\u2013SARS-CoV-2 Antibodies in Persons with Mild Covid-19\u2019, July 27<sup>th<\/sup>, 2020, <em>The New England Journal of Medicine<\/em>. https:\/\/www.nejm.org\/doi\/full\/10.1056\/nejmc2025179<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref7\" name=\"_edn7\">[vii]<\/a> Katherine J. Wu, \u2018Scientists See Signs of Lasting Immunity to Covid-19, Even After Mild Infections\u2019, <em>New York Times<\/em>, August 16<sup>th<\/sup>, 2020, https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2020\/08\/16\/health\/coronavirus-immunity-antibodies.html<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref8\" name=\"_edn8\">[viii]<\/a> https:\/\/twitter.com\/laoneill111\/status\/1276424356869046279<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref9\" name=\"_edn9\">[ix]<\/a> Sitryx, \u2018Founders\u2019 http:\/\/www.sitryx.com\/about-us\/founders\/<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref10\" name=\"_edn10\">[x]<\/a> \u2018Adjuvants help vaccines work better\u2019 https:\/\/www.cdc.gov\/vaccinesafety\/concerns\/adjuvants.html<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref11\" name=\"_edn11\">[xi]<\/a> https:\/\/www.pmlive.com\/pharma_news\/gsk_signs_deal_with_medicargo_for_covid-19_vaccine_1344532<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref12\" name=\"_edn12\">[xii]<\/a> \u2018Lilly Initiates Phase 3 Trial of LY-CoV555 for Prevention of COVID-19 at Long-Term Care Facilities in Partnership with the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID)\u2019 https:\/\/investor.lilly.com\/news-releases\/news-release-details\/lilly-initiates-phase-3-trial-ly-cov555-prevention-covid-19-long<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref13\" name=\"_edn13\">[xiii]<\/a> \u2018New biopharmaceutical company Sitryx launches with $30 million fundraising to develop disease modifying therapeutics in immunometabolism\u2019, October 8<sup>th<\/sup>, 2018, https:\/\/www.globenewswire.com\/news-release\/2018\/10\/08\/1617744\/0\/en\/New-biopharmaceutical-company-Sitryx-launches-with-30-million-fundraising-to-develop-disease-modifying-therapeutics-in-immunometabolism.html<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref14\" name=\"_edn14\">[xiv]<\/a> Sitryx \u2018Founders\u2019 http:\/\/www.sitryx.com\/about-us\/founders\/<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref15\" name=\"_edn15\">[xv]<\/a> VOA News, \u2018Norway Makes First Face Mask Recommendation Since Pandemic Began\u2019, <em>VOA<\/em>, August 14<sup>th<\/sup>, 2020, https:\/\/www.voanews.com\/covid-19-pandemic\/norway-makes-first-face-mask-recommendation-pandemic-began<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref16\" name=\"_edn16\">[xvi]<\/a> Peter S. Gordon, \u2018Sweden Has Become the World\u2019s Cautionary Tale\u2019, <em>New York Times, <\/em>July 7<sup>th<\/sup>, 2020, https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2020\/07\/07\/business\/sweden-economy-coronavirus.html<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref17\" name=\"_edn17\">[xvii]<\/a> Richard Milne \u2018Sweden\u2019s pandemic no longer stands out\u2019, <em>Financial Times<\/em>, August 9<sup>th<\/sup>, 2020, https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/7acfc5b8-d96f-455b-9f36-b70dc850428f<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref18\" name=\"_edn18\">[xviii]<\/a> Allister Herd, \u2018Sweden\u2019s success shows the true cost of our arrogant, failed establishment\u2019, <em>The Telegraph<\/em>, August 10<sup>th<\/sup>, 2020 \u00a0\u00a0https:\/\/www.telegraph.co.uk\/news\/2020\/08\/12\/swedens-success-shows-true-cost-arrogant-failed-establishment\/<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref19\" name=\"_edn19\">[xix]<\/a> Mark Landler and Stephen Castle, \u2018Behind the Virus Report That Jarred the U.S. and the U.K. to Action\u2019, <em>New York Times, <\/em>March 17<sup>th<\/sup>, 2020, https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2020\/03\/17\/world\/europe\/coronavirus-imperial-college-johnson.html<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref20\" name=\"_edn20\">[xx]<\/a> See: David Richards and Konstantin Boudnik, \u2018Neil Ferguson&#8217;s Imperial model could be the most devastating software mistake of all time\u2019, <em>The Telegraph<\/em>, May 16<sup>th<\/sup>, 2020,<br \/>\nAnd: Freddie Sayers, \u2018Nobel prize-winning scientist: the Covid-19 epidemic was never exponential\u2019, <em>Unherd<\/em>, May 2<sup>nd<\/sup>, 2020, https:\/\/unherd.com\/thepost\/nobel-prize-winning-scientist-the-covid-19-epidemic-was-never-exponential\/<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref21\" name=\"_edn21\">[xxi]<\/a> J. Black, <em>Micriobiology Principles &amp; Applications<\/em>, (1993) p.580<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ednref22\" name=\"_edn22\">[xxii]<\/a> \u2018Loneliness may make cold symptoms feel worse\u2019, NHS, March, 2017, https:\/\/www.nhs.uk\/news\/mental-health\/loneliness-may-make-cold-symptoms-feel-worse\/<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Paying the piper? When a researcher publishes a research paper he or she is obliged to state clearly any funding source. The reasons for this are entirely obvious. Most \u2018bad\u2019, \u2018faulty\u2019, or \u2018unreliable\u2019 research is tainted by the interests of those who have provided financial support. There is nothing new in any of this, and [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":213,"featured_media":1481,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[16],"tags":[763,1288,1289,1863,2642,3370,5712,5714,5715,5822,5824,5853,5862,5866,5969,7469,7471,8244,8437,8438,8487,8711,8794,8980,9782,10119],"class_list":["post-9261","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-science-environment","tag-back-to-school-pressures","tag-care-home-carnage","tag-care-home-carnage-in-ireland","tag-conflict-over-masks-in-ireland","tag-dr-marcus-de-brun","tag-flawed-imperial-college-epidemiology","tag-luke-oneill-conflict-of-interest","tag-luke-oneill-mandatory-face-masks","tag-luke-oneill-vaccine","tag-mandatory-vaccination","tag-mandatory-vaccination-in-ireland","tag-marcus-de-brun","tag-marcus-de-brun-herd-immunity","tag-marcus-de-brun-natural-immunity","tag-mask-cover-up","tag-professor-carl-heneghan-on-masks","tag-professor-luke-oneill-links-to-pharmaceutical-industry","tag-second-wave-in-ireland","tag-sitryx-luke-oneill","tag-sitryx-vaccination","tag-social-division-over-masks","tag-stress-and-disease","tag-swedish-model","tag-the-connection-between-stress-and-disease","tag-vaccine-warp-speed-luke-oneill","tag-will-there-be-a-second-wave-in-ireland"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/casswp.eutonom.eu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9261","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/casswp.eutonom.eu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/casswp.eutonom.eu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/casswp.eutonom.eu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/213"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/casswp.eutonom.eu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9261"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/casswp.eutonom.eu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9261\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/casswp.eutonom.eu\/index.php\/wp-json\/"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/casswp.eutonom.eu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9261"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/casswp.eutonom.eu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9261"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/casswp.eutonom.eu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9261"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}